Over the Grill’s NCAA Bracketology – Predicting the 68 Teams

With all the Bracketology coverage going on right now, as we are just a few hours away from March Madness, I figured I would take my shot at trying to predict a bracket. I am going to assume Wisconsin wins today vs. Michigan State, VCU beats Dayton, Kentucky beats Arkansas, SMU beats Connecticut, and Georgia State beats Georgia Southern. Based on that information, here are my predictions on the seeds in this years field:

My bracket – S-curve starts from top left and works its way right and then down

1 Kentucky Villanova Duke Wisconsin
2 Iowa State Gonzaga Arizona Virginia
3 Notre Dame Maryland Kansas Oklahoma
4 Baylor West Virginia Northern Iowa North Carolina
5 Louisville Wichita State Arkansas Georgetown
6 Providence Butler SMU Utah
7 San Diego State Oregon Iowa Michigan State
8 Xavier Cincinnati St. Johns VCU
9 Oklahoma State Ohio State Dayton NC State
10 Davidson Texas Purdue Georgia
11 Miami/Temple Colorado St/Indiana BYU Ole Miss
12 Stephen F Austin Wofford Wyoming Buffalo
13 Harvard Valparaiso Georgia State UC Irvine
14 Eastern Washington North Dakota State Northeastern Albany
15 New Mexico State Belmont UAB Coastal Carolina
16 Hamtpon/North Florida Manhattan/RMU Lafayette Texas Southern

My last four teams in were Miami, Temple, Colorado State, and Indiana. Overall, for me, all these teams pass the eye test. Miami gets in because of the quality of their wins. I try to reward teams that have proven they can beat people and Miami has done that. Colorado State is the last team in for the very fact that they have not beaten anyone of note and played an incredibly easy out of conference schedule. Temple gets in because of their win over Kansas and how well they have played with their full roster. Indiana gets in because of a few quality wins and the fact that they pass the eye test. Boise State is my first team out due to their lack of quality wins. Ole Miss avoids the play in games because of their RPI, which is currently at 36th. The next teams out are UCLA, ODU, and UConn. Should UConn beat SMU today and gain an automatic bid, they will move into the 11 line where BYU currently is and BYU will shift to where Colorado State is, with Colorado State dropping out of the field. An Arkansas win over Kentucky would not change the field at all. If Michigan State beats Wisconsin, there will be no change to the field as I have Michigan State as the last 7 seed.

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