One Round NFL Mock Draft – Adam

With free agency having quieted down and the majority of teams rosters being set until the draft, I have decided to update my mock draft. I am trending towards Marcus Mariota at number two but do not believe it will be to the Titans. However, I am not sure what team it will be that trades up to get Mariota. Once I identify a team, I will mock the trade. Next week I will expand the draft to three rounds.

  1. Tampa Bay (2-14) – Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – This pick to me is an absolute certainty, barring Winston doing something stupid in the next month and a half. Winston has all the tools to become a franchise quarterback and with the weapons he will have surrounding him, he could have a very good rookie season.
  2. Tennessee (2-14) – Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – As I said in my intro, I am more mocking Mariota to this position as I believe that he is going to go second overall. While I think there is a shot the Titans take him here, I think it is more likely that someone else trades up to get him. Mariota is no doubt a system quarterback, but if given the right pieces he can become a very successful NFL quarterback. If the Titans choose not to go with Mariota or a trade here, I believe they will take Leonard Williams out of USC.
  3. Jacksonville (3-13) – Leonard Williams, DE/DT, USC – Williams is a bit inconsistent in his effort, but he is an unbelievable talent with incredible physical ability and technique. He is very strong and has a very well developed set of pass rushing moves. He will be able to provide the Jaguars with a dominant defensive linemen right away
  4. Oakland (3-13) – Kevin White, WR, West Virginia  – The Raiders could go in a variety of directions here, but I believe they have to provide their young, franchise quarterback Derek Carr with a legit number one wide out. White is a phenomenal receiver with great size, athleticism, and hands to go along with it. He is shifty in open space and would fill a big need.
  5. Washington (4-12) – Dante Fowler, DE/OLB, Florida – This is an intriguing pick as I believe the Redskins have a ton of options here. They could go with Trae Waynes to upgrade their awful secondary, although I believe it is a bit to high to pick him here. And then should they go pass rusher, there are four very good options available here. I believe Fowler is the best option for them as he is versatile, strong enough to play the run, and more advanced than any of the other options.
  6. New York Jets (4-12) – Vic Beasley, DE/OLB, Clemson – The Jets already had a dominant front three and through free agency, they have created an unbelievable defensive secondary. However, they still lack an elite pass rushing threat at linebacker. Beasley could give them exactly that, as his combination of athleticism and pass rushing moves is rare. While he is not ready to be a three down linebacker, the Jets would not need him to play that role right away and instead could use him to generate a pass rush on obvious passing downs.
  7. Chicago (5-11) – Shane Ray, DE/OLB, Missouri – The Bears are moving to a 3-4 and to start that move, they signed Pernell McPhee to a big deal this offseason. However, they still need to add a pass rusher across from him and Ray could provide exactly that. He has a great first step and a very developed set of pass rushing moves, which will allow him to possibly play big as a rookie.
  8. Atlanta (6-10) – Alvin Dupree, DE/OLB, Kentucky – The Falcons have had a mostly quiet offseason and still need to add pass rushing threats. Dupree is massive but athletic and has the strength to be an every down linebacker along with the athleticism. He has a great bull rush and a wide variety of other moves and would have a strong possibility at winning defensive rookie of the year.
  9. New York Giants (6-10) – Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State – The Giants go with best player available and I believe Waynes fits that role here. He also fills a big need as the Giants need upgrades at all three levels of their defense. Waynes would provide the Giants with a potentially shutdown man cover corner with great ball skills.
  10. St. Louis (6-10) – Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama – Cooper is a stud and was in strong consideration for me to go fourth overall. He has a great body, great production, and unbelievable shiftiness and route running ability. The Rams made a move to get Nick Foles and they now provide him with an elite wide receiver to help the Rams take the next step in the brutal NFC West.
  11. Minnesota (7-9) – Brandon Scherff, OT/OG, Iowa – The Vikings could go a variety of ways here as there are plenty of talented players available. One option would be to upgrade the talent on the defensive line in Danny Shelton or Randy Gregory but I believe the best move will be to further solidify their offensive line to protect their franchise quarterback. Scherff is a dominant run blocker with high potential as either an elite pulling guard or possible a right tackle and he would provide a mean streak that would dramatically help the Vikings offense.
  12. Cleveland (7-9) – Danny Shelton, DT, Washington – The Browns are a team that is desperate for wide receiver help but having lost starting nose tackle Ahytba Rubin, they also have a big need at that position. Shelton is a physical freak with an unbelievable first step for a man his size and he could give the Browns an elite, two way defensive tackle who could help the Browns woeful run defense.
  13. New Orleans (7-9) – Randy Gregory, DE/OLB, Nebraska – The Saints have a plethora of needs including wide receiver and tight end, but I believe their best way to become competitive again is by improving the defense. Gregory is raw and needs to add strength but he has a good motor and could provide a pass rushing spark that the Saints desperately need from day one. If he can reach his full potential, Gregory could be a massive steal at this spot.
  14. Miami (8-8) – DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville – The Dolphins acquired Kenny Stills from the Saints but still don’t have a true number one wide receiver to help Ryan Tannehill reach his full potential. Parker, at 6’3″, could provide a big-bodied outside wide receiver that could become Tannehill’s go to option. He has great hands and leaping ability and is a crisp route runner. He has two years of elite production and has proven to be a dependable player. The combination of weapons for Tannehill with the addition of Parker would be one of the best in the NFL.
  15. San Francisco (8-8) – Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford – The 49ers have had an absolutely dreadful offseason and are in a total rebuild now, which means they should be going with the best player available. I have Peat as my top rated offensive tackle and he could come in and start at left tackle right away. The Niners also need a wide receiver along with many other positions, but the value is simply to great here for them to pass up on Peat.
  16. Houston (9-7) – Cameron Erving, OG/C, Florida State – The Texans have had a very good offseason and that leaves them in a position to take the best player available. Erving is a versatile offensive linemen who would fit well as a guard or center in a zone blocking scheme like that Texans. He could come in and start from day one and help the Texans get back to being the dominant running offense they were just a couple seasons ago.
  17. San Diego (9-7) – Landon Collins, S, Alabama – I have had the Chargers drafting a running back here for awhile, but with the loss of Marcus Gilchrist, they now need a new safety. Collins is the best one in the draft and provides good value here and his skill set will match what the Chargers need perfectly.
  18. Kansas City (9-7) – Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State – The Chiefs added Jeremy Maclin in free agency but still need an upgrade at their number two wide receiver spot. Strong is a perfect compliment to Maclin, as he is a strong, physical receiver who can make the underneath catches and get first downs. He is also a great blocking receiver and could help in that role as well.
  19. Cleveland – from Buffalo (9-7) – Nelson Agholor, WR, USC – The Browns almost have to walk out of the first round with help on the offensive side of the football as their receiving core is downright offensive. Agholor is rising up draft boards due to his long frame, elite quickness, and ability to turn small plays into big ones. He has the ability to be a dominant, versatile receiver who can play outside, in the slot, and also return punts. In the Browns west coast offense, he would be a great fit.
  20. Philadelphia (10-6) – Jalen Collins, CB, LSU  – The Eagles have added a ton of talent this offseason but still need help in the secondary, as I am not sold on Walter Thurmond as their number two corner. Collins possess the length and size that Chip Kelly wants in a corner and he is an elite athlete. He might not be ready to start right away but if coaches properly, he should give the Eagles a trio of big, physical corners who can create a dominant secondary.
  21. Cincinnati* (10-5-1) – T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh – The Bengals biggest need isn’t along the offensive line but Clemmings is simply too good of a prospect to pass up here. Despite only playing offensive tackle for two years, Clemmings is already a very impressive prospect, not just physically. He has great strength and athleticism but is already adept technique wise and as he learns to play the position more, he should become a dominant left tackle in the NFL.
  22. Pittsburgh* (11-5) – Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest – The Steelers have been heavily scouting Kevin Johnson and with the way the board played out here, I have every reason to expect him to be the pick. Johnson is lanky, capable of playing in all three coverage schemes, and has good ball skills and with the Steelers having an open competition for both corner spots, there is a shot Johnson could start as a rookie for the Steelers.
  23. Detroit* (11-5) – Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma – The Lions lost their two starting defensive tackles and despite adding Haloti Ngata, they still need to add another tackle. Phillips would be a great compliment to Ngata as the two of them are both dominant against the run, with surprising athleticism and pass rushing ability for people of their size. Phillips is an underrated prospect and has all the tools to become a phenomenal NFL player.
  24. Arizona* (11-5) – Eddie Goldman, DE/DT, Florida State – The Cardinals could go in a ton of different directions here but I believe the best match of value and need is in Eddie Goldman. Goldman is versatile and could play all over their front three but he should be able to grow into an elite 3-4 defensive end. He has great strength and power and should be able to command double teams once he refines his technique.
  25. Carolina* (7-8-1) – Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami – The Panthers get lucky here as a very good offensive tackle in Flowers drops to them. Flowers is raw and needs to work on improving his technique, but he has a great frame and unbelievable power and athleticism. As he develops and learns the position, he should become the protector of Cam Newton’s blindside.
  26. Baltimore* (10-6) – Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma – The Ravens need to improve their receiving core and Green-Beckham is a great fit for their offensive scheme. The Ravens have proven to be willing to take chances on players with character concerns (see Jimmy Smith and Will Hill) and they have a strong enough locker room to keep Beckham in line. If they can do that, this could be the steal of the draft as Green-Beckham has the ability to become a dominant, number one wide receiver.
  27. Dallas* (12-4) – Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia – The Cowboys lost DeMarco Murray to division rival Philadelphia and while they have a group of talented running backs, having the opportunity to add one of Gurley’s talent would be hard to pass up. If he had stayed healthy, Gurley could have been a top five pick as he has an extraordinary combination of size, speed, vision, and power. His running ability is comparable to Adrian Peterson or Le’Veon Bell’s and with Dallas wanting to be a run first offense, Gurley could allow them to continue in that mold.
  28. Denver* (12-4) – Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas – The Broncos have had a quiet offseason and still lack physicality on their front seven. Brown would give them another big body that they could use to not only help their run defense, but also add an interior pass rush as Brown is a pretty good pass rusher. He is a bit raw but with his athleticism and power, he should be able to grow into a very good player down the line.
  29. Indianapolis* (11-5) – La’El Collins, OT/OG, LSU – The Colts have had a great offseason but still have not really addressed their offensive line. Andrew Luck is the franchise quarterback and they need to make sure he stays healthy. Collins is a versatile, consistent linemen who could play a variety of different spots. He is good as both a pass blocker and a run blocker and I believe he would find himself starting from day one.
  30. Green Bay* (12-4) – Denzel Perryman, ILB, Miami – The Packers have a great team all around, but they have one glaring whole, which is at inside linebacker. They need to add a multi-dimensional linebacker who can provide a variety of functions. Perryman will give them just that as he is elite as a run stopper and rapidly improving in the other roles he would have as an inside linebacker. He could provide the physical presence that the Packers lack in their linebacker group right now.
  31. New Orleans – from Seattle* (12-4) – Sammie Coates, WR, Auburn – By trading Kenny Stills, the Saints created a need at wide receiver that has not been filled as of now. Coates is a good system fit for the Saints who would have the ability to take the top off of defenses while also being a great redzone threat. He probably isn’t going to be a number one wide receiver but he would be a very good weapon for Drew Brees.
  32. New England* (12-4) – Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin – The Pats are in a position to go best player available and with all the top secondary prospects off the board, they grab the drafts second best running back. Gordon is a great fit for the Pats offense because he can catch balls out of the backfield, block, and run off tackle. He would be the ideal back in the Pats system and would provide a big improvement at the running back position.

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